13 th ICCRTS : C 2 for Complex Endeavors

نویسنده

  • Kathleen M. Carley
چکیده

An influence network is a directed graph extensively used for Effects-Based Operation. It contains nodes that represent events and links that encode causal relationships among events. It propagates the likelihood of each event through promotion or inhibition by its parents. As a subject matter expert often builds this network by hand, we helped simplify the influence network generation in Organization Risk Analyzer. The resulting influence network is generated from a multi-mode, multi-plex organizational network structure, and the generation scheme is based on assessing event flows and evaluating the factors on task management of the organization. To support the soundness of such network generation, we provide sensitivity analysis of baseline probabilities, a major parameter of the model, by bootstrap sampling of the leaf nodes and propagating different levels of assigned parameters. Finally, we provide an example of analysis by utilizing the introduced generation method and a dataset from 1998 US embassy bombing in Kenya.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

13 th ICCRTS : C 2 for Complex Endeavors

Modern military operations are characterized by highly dynamic environments, complex strategic, operational, and tactical situations, a rich and evolving mix of allies and adversaries, inherent and sometimes massive uncertainty, and high risk. This combination of factors requires that military forces must continually transform and adjust to remain highly effective in extremely fluid environment...

متن کامل

13 th ICCRTS : C 2 for Complex Endeavors

Scholars have devoted increasing efforts to understanding crisis response networks (Denning 2006a, 2006b; Stephenson and Schnitzer 2006), especially in the case of networks comprised of disparate members who acknowledge no higher organizational authority. Coordination within disaster response networks is difficult for several reasons, including the chaotic nature of the crisis, a need for the v...

متن کامل

ICCRTS “ Collective C 2 in Multinational Civil - Military Operations ”

One essential function in Command is to determine roles, responsibilities and relationships, in order to enable, encourage and constrain certain behaviors. In the context of the complex endeavors expected to happen in the near future, this means to establish a collection of organizations that are fit for the missions. On the other hand, in recent years the mathematical field of Topology has bee...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2008